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Research Market strategy
by Swissquote Analysts
Weekly Market Outlook

Brexit, al momento regna l'ottimismo

 

E' tempo di scommettere sull'esito della Brexit. A nostro avviso, gli investitori sono troppo ottimisti sull'accordo. Infatti, al momento il mercato stima una probabilità pari all'80% che vi sarà un'intesa. Riteniamo che l'incertezza sia destinata ad aumentare nelle prossime settimane e mesi, con una crescente volatilità della sterlina. Recentemente l'outlook negativo pubblicato dalle agenzie di rating sull'Italia indica un aumento dei rischi legati alle manovre economiche del nuovo governo; in particolare la manovra finanziaria per il prossimo anno è destinata a catalizzare l'attenzione degli investitori nel breve periodo.